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IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz核site by...?

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz核site by...?IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

预测概率 18.0%24h 成交 $46.5K总成交 $461.5K选项 2结束 2027-01-01

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
12月31日December 3118.0%$44.4K
10月31日October 311.6%$2.1K

规则说明

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.

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