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Polymarket 中文市场预测工作台
2026年第三季度欧元区GDP增长

2026年第三季度欧元区GDP增长Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026

预测概率 68.0%24h 成交 $2.8K总成交 $74.6K选项 7结束 2026-10-30

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
0.8-1.1%68.0%$2.5K
1.2-1.5%19.5%$171
0.4-0.7%8.1%$58
0.0-0.3%3.0%$33
1.6-1.9%1.1%$33
<0.0%0.5%$33
2.0%+0.5%$33

规则说明

This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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