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美国recognizes Machado as leader的委内瑞拉——12月31日前会发生吗?

美国recognizes Machado as leader的委内瑞拉——12月31日前会发生吗?U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

预测概率 9.8%24h 成交 $18.5K总成交 $201.5K选项 1结束 2027-01-01

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
是Yes9.8%$18.5K
否No90.2%$18.5K

规则说明

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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